THE LEDGER

The record behind the picks.

Every recovered selection is graded against the number we published. Wins, Losses, MissingData. Full Transparency.

Selected record

22–13

Includes the disclosed 2–3 carry-forward.

Win rate

62.9%

Wins ÷ (wins + losses); pushes excluded.

Itemized decisions

0 pending; 5 decisions aggregate-only.

AGAINST OUR POSTED LINE

Average cover margin.

Average points above or below our spread across 30 individual settled picks. Includes losses. Results without individual game details are excluded. This measures cover margin, not profit.

RutgersWin

2026-09-19 · USC Trojans · Best Bet

Posted spread: +23.5
Final · team first: 35–42
Cover margin: +16.5

Review pick & evidence

North CarolinaLoss

2026-09-19 · Clemson Tigers

Posted spread: +3
Final · team first: 20–28
Cover margin: −5

Review pick & evidence

New MexicoWin

2026-09-19 · Oklahoma Sooners

Posted spread: +21.5
Final · team first: 6–14
Cover margin: +13.5

Review pick & evidence

KentuckyWin

2026-09-19 · Texas A&M Aggies

Posted spread: +17
Final · team first: 31–21
Cover margin: +27

Review pick & evidence

Michigan StateWin

2026-09-19 · Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Posted spread: +29.5
Final · team first: 10–27
Cover margin: +12.5

Review pick & evidence

ArizonaLoss

2026-09-20 · Seattle Seahawks · Best Bet

Posted spread: +4
Final · team first: 7–31
Cover margin: −20

Review pick & evidence

JetsWin

2026-09-20 · Green Bay Packers

Posted spread: +3.5
Final · team first: 17–20
Cover margin: +0.5

Review pick & evidence

ClevelandWin

2026-09-20 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Posted spread: +8.5
Final · team first: 23–19
Cover margin: +12.5

Review pick & evidence

Tennessee TitansWin

2026-09-20 · Philadelphia Eagles

Posted spread: +7
Final · team first: 20–24
Cover margin: +3

Review pick & evidence

IndianapolisWin

2026-09-20 · Kansas City Chiefs

Posted spread: +6.5
Final · team first: 30–33
Cover margin: +3.5

Review pick & evidence

Tennessee VolunteersWin

2026-09-26 · Texas Longhorns · Best Bet

Posted spread: +5.5
Final · team first: 17–20
Cover margin: +2.5

Review pick & evidence

MarylandLoss

2026-09-26 · UCLA Bruins

Posted spread: +1.5
Final · team first: 3–54
Cover margin: −49.5

Review pick & evidence

FloridaWin

2026-09-26 · Ole Miss Rebels

Posted spread: −3.5
Final · team first: 52–28
Cover margin: +20.5

Review pick & evidence

IllinoisWin

2026-09-26 · Ohio State Buckeyes

Posted spread: +26.5
Final · team first: 19–42
Cover margin: +3.5

Review pick & evidence

PurdueLoss

2026-09-26 · Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Posted spread: +27.5
Final · team first: 10–49
Cover margin: −11.5

Review pick & evidence

JetsLoss

2026-09-27 · Detroit Lions · Best Bet

Posted spread: +6.5
Final · team first: 24–31
Cover margin: −0.5

Review pick & evidence

JacksonvilleWin

2026-09-27 · New England Patriots

Posted spread: −3
Final · team first: 35–6
Cover margin: +26

Review pick & evidence

ArizonaWin

2026-09-27 · San Francisco 49ers

Posted spread: +7.5
Final · team first: 30–36
Cover margin: +1.5

Review pick & evidence

ClevelandWin

2026-09-27 · Carolina Panthers

Posted spread: +1.5
Final · team first: 21–18
Cover margin: +4.5

Review pick & evidence

DenverWin

2026-09-27 · Los Angeles Rams

Posted spread: +1.5
Final · team first: 30–26
Cover margin: +5.5

Review pick & evidence

WashingtonWin

2026-10-03 · USC Trojans · Best Bet

Posted spread: +9.5
Final · team first: 21–25
Cover margin: +5.5

Review pick & evidence

PurdueWin

2026-10-03 · Illinois Fighting Illini

Posted spread: +10
Final · team first: 24–17
Cover margin: +17

Review pick & evidence

TempleWin

2026-10-03 · South Florida Bulls

Posted spread: +5.5
Final · team first: 17–13
Cover margin: +9.5

Review pick & evidence

MissouriWin

2026-10-03 · Florida Gators

Posted spread: +5.5
Final · team first: 45–17
Cover margin: +33.5

Review pick & evidence

NC StateWin

2026-10-03 · Louisville Cardinals

Posted spread: +3.5
Final · team first: 31–28
Cover margin: +6.5

Review pick & evidence

DenverLoss

2026-10-04 · San Francisco 49ers · Best Bet

Posted spread: +3
Final · team first: 14–24
Cover margin: −7

Review pick & evidence

CincinnatiLoss

2026-10-04 · Jacksonville Jaguars

Posted spread: −2.5
Final · team first: 17–22
Cover margin: −7.5

Review pick & evidence

JetsLoss

2026-10-04 · Chicago Bears

Posted spread: +3.5
Final · team first: 12–23
Cover margin: −7.5

Review pick & evidence

HoustonLoss

2026-10-04 · Dallas Cowboys

Posted spread: −3
Final · team first: 30–34
Cover margin: −7

Review pick & evidence

PhiladelphiaLoss

2026-10-04 · Los Angeles Rams

Posted spread: +3.5
Final · team first: 20–24
Cover margin: −0.5

Review pick & evidence

Posted-line wager ledger
Date	Selection	Our line	Final¹	ATS margin	Grade	Confidence	Wynn close / ATS / CLV	Evidence
Sep 19	RutgersBest Bet	+23.5	35–42	+16.5	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 19	North Carolina	+3	20–28	−5	Loss	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 19	New Mexico	+21.5	6–14	+13.5	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 19	Kentucky	+17	31–21	+27	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 19	Michigan State	+29.5	10–27	+12.5	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 20	ArizonaBest Bet	+4	7–31	−20	Loss	8.5	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 20	Jets	+3.5	17–20	+0.5	Win	8.0	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 20	Cleveland	+8.5	23–19	+12.5	Win	7.5	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 20	Tennessee Titans	+7	20–24	+3	Win	7.0	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 20	Indianapolis	+6.5	30–33	+3.5	Win	6.5	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 26	Tennessee VolunteersBest Bet	+5.5	17–20	+2.5	Win	8.0	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 26	Maryland	+1.5	3–54	−49.5	Loss	7.5	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 26	Florida	−3.5	52–28	+20.5	Win	7.0	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 26	Illinois	+26.5	19–42	+3.5	Win	6.5	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 26	Purdue	+27.5	10–49	−11.5	Loss	6.0	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 27	JetsBest Bet	+6.5	24–31	−0.5	Loss	8.0	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 27	Jacksonville	−3	35–6	+26	Win	7.5	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 27	Arizona	+7.5	30–36	+1.5	Win	7.5	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 27	Cleveland	+1.5	21–18	+4.5	Win	7.0	Not verified	Review Score
Sep 27	Denver	+1.5	30–26	+5.5	Win	7.0	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 3	WashingtonBest Bet	+9.5	21–25	+5.5	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 3	Purdue	+10	24–17	+17	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 3	Temple	+5.5	17–13	+9.5	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 3	Missouri	+5.5	45–17	+33.5	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 3	NC State	+3.5	31–28	+6.5	Win	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 4	DenverBest Bet	+3	14–24	−7	Loss	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 4	Cincinnati	−2.5	17–22	−7.5	Loss	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 4	Jets	+3.5	12–23	−7.5	Loss	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 4	Houston	−3	30–34	−7	Loss	N/A	Not verified	Review Score
Oct 4	Philadelphia	+3.5	20–24	−0.5	Loss	N/A	Not verified	Review Score

¹ Final score is selection first, opponent second. Margin = selected-team points − opponent points + posted spread. Positive wins; zero pushes. Confidence values are original editorial ratings, not probabilities. Wynn ATS uses the verified Wynn closing spread; CLV = our spread − Wynn spread. Missing closes are excluded, never estimated.

MARKET-WIDE · 2026 SEASON

Best and worst against the spread.

Season-to-date team records from TeamRankings, separate from our picks and Wynn-close benchmark. Retrieved Oct 4, 2026 at 11:05 PM CT. This is a saved source snapshot, not a live feed; the provider does not state an exact game cutoff.

College · FBS

TeamRankings source

10 best ATS
Team	W–L–P	Cover %	Avg. margin
New Mexico	5–0–0	100.0%	+19.3
UCLA	4–0–0	100.0%	+18.0
Northwestern	4–0–0	100.0%	+17.8
Georgia St	5–0–0	100.0%	+17.6
J Madison	5–0–0	100.0%	+17.3
Oregon St	5–0–0	100.0%	+15.7
Utah	4–0–0	100.0%	+11.9
Duke	4–0–0	100.0%	+11.1
Louisiana Tech	4–0–0	100.0%	+9.1
Temple	4–0–1	100.0%	+5.8

10 worst ATS
Team	W–L–P	Cover %	Avg. margin
Old Dominion	0–5–0	0.0%	−16.0
Georgia Tech	0–4–0	0.0%	−7.9
Navy	0–4–0	0.0%	−7.8
USC	1–5–0	16.7%	−7.3
Marshall	1–4–0	20.0%	−13.1
Washington	1–4–0	20.0%	−11.6
UL Monroe	1–4–0	20.0%	−10.0
California	1–4–0	20.0%	−9.2
Arkansas	1–4–0	20.0%	−8.3
Hawai'i	1–4–0	20.0%	−8.3

NFL

TeamRankings source

10 best ATS
Team	W–L–P	Cover %	Avg. margin
Las Vegas	4–0–0	100.0%	+10.4
Jacksonville	3–1–0	75.0%	+11.1
Chicago	3–1–0	75.0%	+9.9
San Francisco	3–1–0	75.0%	+9.5
Minnesota	3–1–0	75.0%	+7.0
NY Giants	3–1–0	75.0%	+3.1
Dallas	3–1–0	75.0%	+2.3
Cleveland	3–1–0	75.0%	+2.1
Indianapolis	3–1–0	75.0%	+1.0
Buffalo	3–1–0	75.0%	−0.3

10 worst ATS
Team	W–L–P	Cover %	Avg. margin
LA Chargers	0–3–1	0.0%	−10.3
Philadelphia	0–4–0	0.0%	−7.8
Houston	0–4–0	0.0%	−7.6
Tampa Bay	0–4–0	0.0%	−5.9
Detroit	0–2–1	0.0%	−3.5
Green Bay	1–3–0	25.0%	−10.0
Miami	1–3–0	25.0%	−4.9
Baltimore	1–3–0	25.0%	−1.6
Atlanta	1–2–0	33.3%	−1.2
Carolina	1–2–0	33.3%	+1.3

How these tables are ranked

Cover rate = wins ÷ (wins + losses); pushes are excluded. Minimum 2 decided games. Best sorts by highest cover rate, then highest average ATS margin; worst reverses both. Further ties use more decided games, then team name. Exactly ten teams per table means a tied team can fall outside the cutoff.

Average margin is the provider’s reported mean points above or below its spread, not scoring margin or profit. The source does not identify a specific sportsbook or closing timestamp on these pages. These figures are not verified Wynn-close results and never alter our wager record. Small samples describe past results, not a forecast.

League and date filters above apply only to our wager ledger, not these season-wide tables.

What is in the record.

Partial

The 35-decision total

College: 12–3 from 15 recovered wagers, plus the opening 2–3 = 14–6. NFL: 15 recovered wagers = 8–7. Combined: 22–13.

Five entries still missing

The September 12 college record was saved as 2–3, but the five individual picks have not been recovered. That record is included in YTD totals. Without the individual picks, it cannot support team records or model evaluation.

Wynn is a separate benchmark

Wynn Las Vegas provides the closing-line benchmark. Each closing spread needs a verified final pregame quote. The original wager is still graded at our published spread. Without the Wynn quote, its closing-line grade and CLV remain unavailable.

The original price limits

Purdue: +9.5 minimum. Cincinnati: pass at −3. Jets and Philadelphia: +3.5. These limits come from the original pick card, not the design draft.

Original record confirmation

Em-dash punctuation normalized for display. Original evidence is preserved.

Confirmed ATS records for the standalone five-pick cards, excluding every SplashSports selection:

| Category | Record | Win rate |
|---|---:|---:|
| College | **14–6** | **70.0%** |
| NFL | **8–2** | **80.0%** |
| Combined | **22–8** | **73.3%** |

Yesterday’s college card went **5–0 ATS**:

- Washington +9.5, won ATS; USC won 25–21
- Purdue +10, won outright, 24–17
- Temple +5.5, won outright, 17–13
- Missouri +5.5, won outright, 45–17
- NC State +3.5, won outright, 31–28

Scores were verified through [USC Athletics](https://usctrojans.com/news/2026/10/3/usc-trojans-football-game-recap-associated-press-ap-washington-huskies-big-ten-jahkeem-stewart), [Purdue Athletics](https://purduesports.com/news/2026/10/3/boilers-topple-illini-24-17-to-bring-home-cannon-trophy), [Temple Athletics](https://owlsports.com/news/2026/10/3/football-temple-tops-undefeated-usf-on-the-road), [Florida Athletics](https://floridagators.com/news/2026/10/2/football-final-florida-vs-missouri-quick-slant-oct-4-2026), and [FootballDB](https://www.footballdb.com/college-football/scores.html?lg=FBS&type=reg&wk=5&yr=2026).

The two completed NFL cards each went **4–1 ATS**. [Week 2 scores](https://www.nfl.com/schedules/2026/by-week/week-2) and [Week 3 scores](https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2026/week_3.htm) confirm the **8–2** total.

Best Bet record:

- College: **3–1**
- NFL: **0–2**
- Combined: **3–3**

Today’s five NFL selections remain pending and are not included.

Best Bets, prices and closing-line coverage

One unit risked per pick with a recorded price. This is a subset, not the return on the full record.

Sport	Best Bets	Priced picks	Net units	ROI	Wynn closes
College	3–0 (3 picks)	0 / 15	N/A	N/A	0 / 15
NFL	0–3 (3 picks)	5 / 15	−5	-100.0%	0 / 15

Prices are American odds. Pushes return the stake. Missing prices and aggregate-only results are excluded. Wynn means a verified final pregame Wynn Las Vegas quote, never a postgame feed or consensus estimate.